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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

data as of 2026-04-18 18:45 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$17K−$26K$43K
Holders454−27481
Trades7.2K−437.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.1%
−5.7 pp
56.8%
Avg ROI2.0%
+1.9 pp
0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.30
+0.40×
×0.90
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.33
+0.47×
×0.86
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$15.4K
−$17.3K
$32.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.84
+0.01
0.83
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-27.0%
−42.9 pp
16.0%
Underwater %67.6%
+55.1 pp
12.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %63.5%
−3.8 pp
67.3%
Bot %65.9%
−3.0 pp
68.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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