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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

data as of 2026-07-09 22:10 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$39K+$19K$19K
Holders454+63391
Trades3.8K−2274.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.3%
−0.2 pp
51.4%
Avg ROI2.6%
−2.5 pp
5.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×70.63
+70.33×
×0.30
Top-20 avg cost vs price×68.37
+68.04×
×0.33
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$32.4K
+$15.6K
$16.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
−0.04
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-98.4%
−302.6 pp
204.2%
Underwater %97.3%
+95.7 pp
1.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %45.7%
+1.4 pp
44.3%
Bot %50.8%
−4.3 pp
55.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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