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Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on April 9?

data as of 2026-04-09 14:12 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.2K−$5.6K$6.8K
Holders135−38173
Trades1.2K+324847
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.8%
−23.3 pp
70.1%
Avg ROI2.3%
+2.2 pp
0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.26
+1.38×
×0.88
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.36
+1.48×
×0.87
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$8
−$58
$67
Recent buyer dominance0.61
−0.06
0.68
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-56.9%
−72.7 pp
15.7%
Underwater %91.1%
+87.7 pp
3.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %32.0%
+2.2 pp
29.8%
Bot %31.7%
+1.8 pp
29.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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