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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

data as of 2026-07-11 16:41 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.3K−$3.7K$8.1K
Holders143+28115
Trades1.2K+1751.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.0%
−1.0 pp
53.0%
Avg ROI2.0%
−1.8 pp
3.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×20.68
+20.02×
×0.67
Top-20 avg cost vs price×17.85
+17.17×
×0.68
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$963
−$3.2K
$4.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.85
−0.09
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.6%
−143.2 pp
48.6%
Underwater %98.9%
+98.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %46.1%
−2.8 pp
48.8%
Bot %57.2%
−9.3 pp
66.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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