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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

data as of 2026-05-14 04:30 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$21K+$12K$8.1K
Holders266−96362
Trades3.0K−3323.3K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.8%
+4.1 pp
49.7%
Avg ROI1.2%
+0.2 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.73
−7.85×
×8.58
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.73
−8.07×
×8.80
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$12.1K
+$4.9K
$7.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.75
−0.15
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL39.1%
+127.9 pp
-88.8%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.7 pp
99.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %67.8%
−0.0 pp
67.8%
Bot %75.0%
−0.5 pp
75.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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