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Will Tesla say "Income" 10+ times during earnings call?

data as of 2026-07-21 08:14 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 22, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
5¢
NO
91¢
YES
5¢
YesY-NNo
Position$39+$29$10
Holders6+51
Trades8+71
NO
91¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.0%
−22.0 pp
68.1%
Avg ROI-0.6%
−16.0 pp
15.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×6.40
+5.40×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×6.10
+5.10×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$10
$10
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-83.4%
−83.4 pp
-0.0%
Underwater %99.1%
−0.9 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.9%
+0.9 pp
0.0%
Bot %25.4%
+25.4 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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