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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

data as of 2026-07-01 19:44 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.3K+$3.9K$2.5K
Holders118+15103
Trades914−2061.1K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.6%
+4.1 pp
49.6%
Avg ROI2.8%
+2.8 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.79
−11.43×
×12.22
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.78
−11.11×
×11.89
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.1K
+$2.0K
$1.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.12
0.85
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL31.0%
+122.6 pp
-91.7%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.4 pp
99.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %56.0%
−3.4 pp
59.3%
Bot %61.9%
−1.5 pp
63.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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