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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 8PM ET

data as of 2025-12-14 01:57 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$9.0K−$18K$27K
Holders77−582
Trades1.8K−761.9K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate36.9%
−20.1 pp
57.1%
Avg ROI1.1%
−2.3 pp
3.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×18.24
+17.47×
×0.77
Top-20 avg cost vs price×18.00
+17.29×
×0.71
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$136
−$189
$325
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.33
0.61
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.6%
−140.1 pp
45.5%
Underwater %88.5%
+88.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %60.5%
−0.9 pp
61.4%
Bot %61.2%
−0.2 pp
61.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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