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XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

data as of 2026-05-04 21:44 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$665−$68$733
Holders43+1627
Trades217+11206
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate27.9%
−13.0 pp
40.9%
Avg ROI2.1%
+9.3 pp
-7.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×19.05
+18.65×
×0.40
Top-20 avg cost vs price×21.78
+21.33×
×0.45
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$663
+$99
$565
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.15
0.78
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.3%
−215.2 pp
119.8%
Underwater %95.0%
+95.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %93.1%
+3.7 pp
89.4%
Bot %93.4%
+4.0 pp
89.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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