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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

data as of 2026-01-18 11:45 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$80K+$57K$22K
Holders362+25337
Trades5.0K−4985.5K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate81.9%
+39.5 pp
42.4%
Avg ROI1.7%
−8.1 pp
9.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.21×
×0.79
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.89
+0.27×
×0.62
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$65.9K
+$58.7K
$7.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
+0.17
0.74
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL30.8%
−14.0 pp
44.7%
Underwater %5.2%
−10.1 pp
15.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %24.7%
−24.8 pp
49.6%
Bot %26.2%
−30.8 pp
57.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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