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Will MrBeast say "Farm" during his next gaming YouTube video?

data as of 2026-07-19 18:48 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 18, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
24¢
NO
92¢
YES
24¢
YesY-NNo
Position$39−$8$47
Holders3+21
Trades6+51
NO
92¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.5%
+22.9 pp
22.6%
Avg ROI1.2%
+1.0 pp
0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.26
+0.26×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.16
+0.16×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$47
$47
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-13.9%
−13.9 pp
0.0%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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