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Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on March 19?

data as of 2026-03-19 07:51 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$801−$14K$15K
Holders117+4113
Trades1.1K+191913
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate27.6%
−43.0 pp
70.6%
Avg ROI-6.6%
−6.2 pp
-0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.48
−0.57×
×1.05
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.63
−0.42×
×1.04
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$21
−$234
$255
Recent buyer dominance0.77
−0.19
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL37.1%
+40.0 pp
-2.9%
Underwater %25.9%
−47.0 pp
72.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %11.2%
−12.6 pp
23.9%
Bot %11.7%
−11.7 pp
23.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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