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Will there be over 300k jobs added in January 2025?

data as of 2025-02-07 08:50 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$5.1K−$14K$19K
Holders36−2763
Trades455−73528
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.0%
−8.7 pp
61.7%
Avg ROI6.7%
+5.4 pp
1.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.99
+1.11×
×0.87
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.10
+1.23×
×0.88
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$76
−$338
$414
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.10
0.87
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-52.1%
−67.1 pp
15.0%
Underwater %99.7%
+99.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %64.1%
+31.0 pp
33.0%
Bot %64.1%
+31.0 pp
33.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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