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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

data as of 2026-04-15 16:59 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$17K+$5.6K$12K
Holders200−15215
Trades2.5K+1162.4K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.1%
+3.9 pp
50.2%
Avg ROI1.2%
+2.6 pp
-1.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.52
−42.32×
×42.84
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.51
−37.71×
×38.22
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7.3K
+$1.1K
$6.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.85
−0.08
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL92.9%
+190.4 pp
-97.5%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.5 pp
99.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %87.0%
+3.3 pp
83.7%
Bot %89.2%
+3.3 pp
85.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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