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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

data as of 2026-04-16 23:42 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$16K+$13K$3.5K
Holders172−15187
Trades1.4K−2791.7K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate72.5%
+32.1 pp
40.5%
Avg ROI1.0%
−3.6 pp
4.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.78
−6.83×
×7.61
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.79
−9.58×
×10.37
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.6K
+$4.8K
$837
Recent buyer dominance0.95
−0.01
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL26.3%
+119.5 pp
-93.2%
Underwater %1.7%
−91.1 pp
92.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %73.8%
−8.3 pp
82.1%
Bot %75.5%
−7.4 pp
82.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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