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Will Caleb McDaniel be eliminated from Love Island USA this week?

data as of 2026-07-03 22:59 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 4, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
87¢
NO
13¢
YES
87¢
YesY-NNo
Position$139+$10$129
Holders2−13
Trades2−68
NO
13¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate42.4%
−1.8 pp
44.2%
Avg ROI-0.7%
−13.1 pp
12.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−3.31×
×4.31
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
−3.56×
×4.56
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$87
+$88
−$1
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+77.4 pp
-77.4%
Underwater %0.0%
−93.1 pp
93.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−45.2 pp
45.2%
Bot %0.0%
−45.2 pp
45.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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