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Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on April 29?

data as of 2026-04-29 11:13 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$174−$83$257
Holders26+719
Trades174+11064
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate41.2%
−18.4 pp
59.5%
Avg ROI-0.4%
−3.1 pp
2.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.09×
×0.91
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.05
+0.09×
×0.96
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11
−$9
$20
Recent buyer dominance0.60
−0.40
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-4.7%
−8.7 pp
4.0%
Underwater %39.3%
+4.6 pp
34.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %6.1%
−30.2 pp
36.3%
Bot %6.1%
−30.2 pp
36.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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