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Will Donald Trump be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?

data as of 2024-12-30 03:58 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$6.5K−$427K$434K
Holders161−285446
Trades3.0K+1.1K1.9K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate19.8%
−45.3 pp
65.1%
Avg ROI-18.6%
−17.9 pp
-0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.35
+1.36×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.05
+1.06×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4
−$381
$386
Recent buyer dominance0.90
−0.10
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-50.7%
−51.8 pp
1.1%
Underwater %88.5%
+75.2 pp
13.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %3.2%
−25.1 pp
28.3%
Bot %3.2%
−25.1 pp
28.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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