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Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C or below on June 24?

data as of 2026-06-22 07:20 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jun 24, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
30¢
NO
70¢
YES
30¢
YesY-NNo
Position$10−$11$21
Holders303
Trades404
NO
70¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate57.3%
+6.0 pp
51.3%
Avg ROI-0.2%
−4.1 pp
4.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$1
$2
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Underwater %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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