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Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?

data as of 2025-07-12 23:49 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.16M−$278K$1.44M
Holders2.4K+1.6K837
Trades16K+4.8K11K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.1%
−4.3 pp
56.4%
Avg ROI1.4%
+3.9 pp
-2.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×22.38
+21.81×
×0.57
Top-20 avg cost vs price×21.63
+21.04×
×0.59
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$949
−$13.4K
$14.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.81
+0.14
0.67
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.4%
−169.0 pp
73.6%
Underwater %99.9%
+99.6 pp
0.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %18.7%
+0.6 pp
18.1%
Bot %15.9%
−2.4 pp
18.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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