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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

data as of 2026-04-05 22:38 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$20K+$17K$2.4K
Holders177−14191
Trades1.5K−1431.6K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.8%
+13.6 pp
39.2%
Avg ROI0.1%
+0.6 pp
-0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.79
−8.73×
×9.53
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.77
−10.33×
×11.11
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.3K
+$2.8K
$516
Recent buyer dominance0.99
+0.07
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL32.9%
+123.5 pp
-90.6%
Underwater %0.2%
−96.0 pp
96.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %67.7%
+6.0 pp
61.7%
Bot %68.3%
+4.9 pp
63.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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