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Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on April 24?

data as of 2026-04-24 04:21 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$105−$2.9K$3.0K
Holders49−4291
Trades368−32400
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate32.0%
−53.2 pp
85.2%
Avg ROI3.0%
+2.9 pp
0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.74
+0.74×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.75
+0.76×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$13
−$737
$750
Recent buyer dominance0.95
−0.05
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-43.5%
−44.3 pp
0.8%
Underwater %89.1%
+63.5 pp
25.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %12.0%
+10.0 pp
2.0%
Bot %12.0%
+9.0 pp
3.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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