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Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 3?

data as of 2025-12-27 18:31 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$9−$29K$29K
Holders37+1324
Trades284+21767
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate33.0%
+33.0 pp
0.0%
Avg ROI13.6%
+13.6 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.14
+1.14×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.12
+1.12×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$2
$2
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-52.8%
−52.8 pp
0.0%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %19.9%
−80.1 pp
100.0%
Bot %19.9%
−80.1 pp
100.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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