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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

data as of 2026-07-19 23:20 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$7.0K−$20K$27K
Holders362+2360
Trades2.9K+4422.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.8%
−4.4 pp
52.2%
Avg ROI3.8%
+2.6 pp
1.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×20.53
+19.77×
×0.77
Top-20 avg cost vs price×19.25
+18.47×
×0.77
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.4K
−$19.9K
$26.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.04
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.1%
−126.8 pp
31.8%
Underwater %99.8%
+99.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %40.0%
−0.6 pp
40.6%
Bot %59.0%
−10.5 pp
69.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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