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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

data as of 2026-06-30 21:10 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.2K−$1.5K$4.7K
Holders111+11100
Trades1.0K+64951
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.9%
−2.3 pp
51.2%
Avg ROI1.9%
+1.1 pp
0.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×42.94
+42.36×
×0.58
Top-20 avg cost vs price×40.01
+39.39×
×0.61
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$699
−$1.8K
$2.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
−0.04
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.5%
−161.7 pp
64.3%
Underwater %99.9%
+99.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %57.4%
−0.5 pp
57.9%
Bot %73.1%
−2.0 pp
75.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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