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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

data as of 2026-03-02 08:59 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$33K+$7.7K$25K
Holders402+70332
Trades4.1K−1254.2K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.8%
+4.8 pp
50.0%
Avg ROI0.5%
−5.8 pp
6.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.54
−21.10×
×21.64
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.54
−22.14×
×22.68
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$17.6K
−$6.5K
$24.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.86
−0.12
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL82.5%
+177.8 pp
-95.3%
Underwater %0.6%
−98.0 pp
98.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %76.6%
+19.7 pp
56.9%
Bot %78.3%
+23.1 pp
55.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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