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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1PM ET

data as of 2026-03-06 18:59 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$85K+$74K$10K
Holders247+35212
Trades2.2K−4032.6K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate66.2%
+17.1 pp
49.1%
Avg ROI0.8%
−3.1 pp
3.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.83
−113.09×
×113.92
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.84
−131.21×
×132.05
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$8.7K
−$8.7K
$36
Recent buyer dominance0.17
−0.79
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL19.1%
+118.5 pp
-99.3%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.1 pp
99.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %84.0%
+21.3 pp
62.7%
Bot %73.8%
+12.2 pp
61.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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