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Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3800 on August 1?

data as of 2025-08-01 11:50 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$28K−$75K$103K
Holders150+14136
Trades872−1291.0K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate36.5%
−19.4 pp
55.9%
Avg ROI6.2%
+4.0 pp
2.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×7.79
+6.98×
×0.81
Top-20 avg cost vs price×9.68
+8.96×
×0.72
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$1
+$38
−$39
Recent buyer dominance0.44
+0.44
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-89.9%
−125.8 pp
35.9%
Underwater %88.7%
+87.6 pp
1.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %60.5%
+19.6 pp
40.9%
Bot %60.3%
+19.6 pp
40.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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