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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1PM ET

data as of 2025-07-29 18:01 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$23K+$14K$8.4K
Holders48+246
Trades1.1K+243865
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate58.2%
+8.9 pp
49.4%
Avg ROI0.4%
+5.5 pp
-5.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.71
−36.46×
×37.17
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.67
−35.81×
×36.48
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.4K
+$2.8K
$1.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.78
−0.13
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL49.0%
+146.2 pp
-97.2%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %43.1%
+0.6 pp
42.5%
Bot %47.4%
+5.0 pp
42.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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