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Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 31?

data as of 2026-05-31 08:05 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$281−$1.4K$1.7K
Holders83+2162
Trades422+137285
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate36.0%
−37.8 pp
73.8%
Avg ROI9.2%
+8.8 pp
0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×11.31
+10.41×
×0.90
Top-20 avg cost vs price×12.14
+11.24×
×0.90
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$12
−$410
$421
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.05
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.2%
−106.7 pp
14.5%
Underwater %95.4%
+95.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %22.6%
+12.8 pp
9.7%
Bot %32.0%
+19.9 pp
12.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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