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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

data as of 2026-07-02 03:24 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$9.6K−$12K$21K
Holders358+66292
Trades2.9K+3292.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.5%
−2.6 pp
52.1%
Avg ROI2.2%
+1.5 pp
0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×26.99
+26.23×
×0.77
Top-20 avg cost vs price×26.26
+25.51×
×0.75
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7.3K
−$12.7K
$20.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.03
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.3%
−126.1 pp
29.8%
Underwater %99.4%
+94.5 pp
4.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %41.9%
+8.2 pp
33.8%
Bot %44.9%
+4.3 pp
40.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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