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Will Tesla deliver 375000-400000 vehicles in Q2?

data as of 2025-07-02 11:50 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$5.1K+$309$4.8K
Holders34−135
Trades308−30338
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.3%
−0.7 pp
49.0%
Avg ROI10.0%
−50.1 pp
60.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.52
−37.25×
×37.77
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.99
−24.90×
×25.89
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.6K
+$3.0K
$613
Recent buyer dominance0.98
−0.02
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL7.1%
+103.5 pp
-96.4%
Underwater %48.8%
−51.2 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %8.6%
−56.7 pp
65.3%
Bot %2.0%
−63.3 pp
65.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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