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Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on April 16?

data as of 2026-04-16 16:58 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.4K−$3.0K$4.4K
Holders92+2072
Trades696+160536
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate28.7%
−43.0 pp
71.7%
Avg ROI16.6%
+14.1 pp
2.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×26.39
+25.62×
×0.77
Top-20 avg cost vs price×24.21
+23.45×
×0.76
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$199
$201
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.17
0.83
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.5%
−129.8 pp
33.3%
Underwater %96.6%
+91.5 pp
5.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %32.5%
+2.0 pp
30.5%
Bot %28.0%
−1.3 pp
29.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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