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Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on July 18?

data as of 2026-07-18 11:47 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 19, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO
100¢
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$2−$370$372
Holders7+61
Trades12+102
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate23.2%
−76.0 pp
99.2%
Avg ROI-5.0%
−4.8 pp
-0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.50
−0.50×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.61
−0.39×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$0
−$372
$372
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL64.2%
+64.2 pp
-0.1%
Underwater %0.8%
−99.2 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %21.3%
+21.3 pp
0.0%
Bot %21.3%
+21.3 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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