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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

data as of 2026-03-29 21:45 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$28K+$2.4K$26K
Holders410−21431
Trades5.7K+95.7K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.7%
+4.1 pp
45.6%
Avg ROI18.8%
+19.6 pp
-0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.51
−26.41×
×26.92
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.50
−25.06×
×25.56
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$17.5K
−$7.9K
$25.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.82
−0.11
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL93.3%
+189.1 pp
-95.8%
Underwater %0.1%
−98.9 pp
99.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %75.5%
+4.3 pp
71.2%
Bot %72.1%
+3.3 pp
68.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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