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Will Les Démocrates (LD) win the most seats in the 2026 Benin parliamentary election?

data as of 2026-01-01 19:34 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$969−$9.4K$10K
Holders53−1568
Trades397−52449
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate38.8%
−18.2 pp
57.1%
Avg ROI9.3%
+7.2 pp
2.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×11.25
+10.34×
×0.91
Top-20 avg cost vs price×8.26
+7.36×
×0.90
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7
−$300
$306
Recent buyer dominance0.75
−0.03
0.78
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-88.4%
−100.4 pp
11.9%
Underwater %96.5%
+90.0 pp
6.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %56.1%
−28.6 pp
84.7%
Bot %57.1%
−27.6 pp
84.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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