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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

data as of 2026-02-16 02:34 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$23K+$13K$10K
Holders273−187460
Trades3.9K−1.3K5.2K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.6%
+10.4 pp
42.2%
Avg ROI-1.5%
−7.6 pp
6.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.67
−16.81×
×17.48
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.69
−15.11×
×15.80
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$14.5K
+$5.9K
$8.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.88
+0.01
0.87
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL49.1%
+142.5 pp
-93.4%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.4 pp
99.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %67.3%
+13.9 pp
53.4%
Bot %67.2%
+14.2 pp
52.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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