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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

data as of 2026-07-17 19:44 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$21K+$13K$7.1K
Holders255+11244
Trades1.5K−2131.7K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.6%
+3.7 pp
49.9%
Avg ROI1.4%
+1.1 pp
0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.77
−7.53×
×8.30
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.75
−8.21×
×8.96
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$20.4K
+$13.3K
$7.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.99
+0.00
0.99
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL35.3%
+124.5 pp
-89.2%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.7 pp
99.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %26.6%
−10.5 pp
37.2%
Bot %68.4%
+0.7 pp
67.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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