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Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 28?

data as of 2026-04-26 07:46 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$16−$1.7K$1.7K
Holders20−222
Trades49+643
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.0%
−45.3 pp
94.3%
Avg ROI35.8%
+37.2 pp
-1.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.25
−0.78×
×1.03
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.40
−0.63×
×1.03
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11
−$668
$678
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.01
0.99
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL153.1%
+155.6 pp
-2.5%
Underwater %4.2%
−91.6 pp
95.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %26.5%
−55.4 pp
81.8%
Bot %23.7%
−58.1 pp
81.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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