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Will Ares Capital (ARCC) beat quarterly earnings?

data as of 2026-07-16 12:51 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 29, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
47¢
NO
70¢
YES
47¢
YesY-NNo
Position$42+$2$41
Holders303
Trades5+14
NO
70¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate0.0%
−48.0 pp
48.0%
Avg ROI0.0%
−0.8 pp
0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.02
+0.02×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.01
+0.01×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$24
−$20
$43
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-1.3%
−1.3 pp
0.0%
Underwater %60.0%
+60.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %60.0%
+60.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %60.0%
+60.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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