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Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 16?

data as of 2026-04-16 14:01 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.1K−$5.3K$6.4K
Holders137+33104
Trades960+477483
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.1%
−35.9 pp
79.1%
Avg ROI4.7%
+1.0 pp
3.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×42.53
+41.74×
×0.79
Top-20 avg cost vs price×51.33
+50.55×
×0.78
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$127
−$478
$605
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.27
0.73
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-98.2%
−128.9 pp
30.6%
Underwater %99.8%
+99.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %21.9%
−12.7 pp
34.5%
Bot %21.3%
−11.8 pp
33.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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