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Will Modern SC win on 2026-05-12?

data as of 2026-05-12 15:35 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$2.8K−$762$3.5K
Holders58−967
Trades272−5277
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.1%
−1.4 pp
53.5%
Avg ROI1.6%
+0.5 pp
1.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.38
−2.24×
×2.62
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.43
−2.05×
×2.48
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$234
−$166
−$68
Recent buyer dominance0.37
+0.04
0.33
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL131.4%
+190.8 pp
-59.3%
Underwater %4.6%
−93.6 pp
98.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %48.3%
−2.0 pp
50.3%
Bot %49.3%
−4.4 pp
53.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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