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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 10PM ET

data as of 2025-07-04 21:43 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$5.2K+$2.1K$3.1K
Holders29−736
Trades471+98373
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.1%
−2.6 pp
48.7%
Avg ROI0.6%
+0.8 pp
-0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.31
−32.91×
×33.22
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.35
−26.56×
×26.91
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$1.4K
−$1.8K
$422
Recent buyer dominance0.23
−0.67
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL234.9%
+331.3 pp
-96.4%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %74.6%
+9.4 pp
65.2%
Bot %74.6%
+9.7 pp
64.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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