Markets › detail

Will Germany win on 2026-03-27?

data as of 2026-03-27 21:38 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$518K+$23K$496K
Holders865+285580
Trades9.5K−2219.7K
NO
0¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.5%
+0.4 pp
49.2%
Avg ROI-0.4%
+0.1 pp
-0.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.52
−49.34×
×49.86
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.53
−48.54×
×49.07
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9.9K
+$9.2K
$733
Recent buyer dominance0.65
−0.33
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL88.9%
+186.9 pp
-98.0%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.4 pp
99.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %55.4%
−4.3 pp
59.7%
Bot %55.1%
−4.5 pp
59.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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