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Will the U.S. national debt hit $38 trillion in 2025?

data as of 2025-10-22 20:19 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$6.3K+$4.6K$1.7K
Holders21−1637
Trades200−3203
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate59.6%
+17.1 pp
42.5%
Avg ROI2.5%
−14.9 pp
17.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.82
−97.57×
×98.39
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.87
−113.46×
×114.33
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$106
−$109
$3
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL16.3%
+115.5 pp
-99.1%
Underwater %0.0%
−90.4 pp
90.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %60.3%
+12.1 pp
48.3%
Bot %64.4%
+15.9 pp
48.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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