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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

data as of 2026-05-01 15:40 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$37K+$24K$13K
Holders368+29339
Trades3.6K+2083.3K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate80.0%
+33.9 pp
46.2%
Avg ROI6.9%
−1.0 pp
7.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.84
+0.53×
×0.32
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.85
+0.56×
×0.29
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$33.1K
+$21.1K
$12.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.05
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL28.1%
−180.9 pp
208.9%
Underwater %1.3%
+1.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %53.4%
−18.6 pp
72.0%
Bot %54.2%
−22.0 pp
76.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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