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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

data as of 2026-02-12 13:00 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$38K−$48K$85K
Holders724+147577
Trades9.8K−30310K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate34.1%
−30.7 pp
64.8%
Avg ROI7.7%
+5.7 pp
2.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×31.00
+30.31×
×0.69
Top-20 avg cost vs price×31.67
+30.98×
×0.69
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.6K
−$31.4K
$35.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.84
−0.03
0.87
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.5%
−142.8 pp
46.4%
Underwater %95.5%
+86.5 pp
9.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %67.8%
−0.2 pp
68.0%
Bot %67.1%
−0.0 pp
67.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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