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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

data as of 2026-04-02 08:15 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$32K−$1.7K$34K
Holders417+17400
Trades4.7K+1654.5K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.6%
+12.1 pp
43.5%
Avg ROI2.9%
+2.4 pp
0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.39
−67.79×
×68.18
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.42
−63.03×
×63.45
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$19.3K
−$13.7K
$33.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.87
−0.10
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL127.9%
+226.2 pp
-98.3%
Underwater %0.2%
−97.9 pp
98.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %71.2%
−13.1 pp
84.3%
Bot %71.1%
−13.2 pp
84.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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