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Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

data as of 2026-06-15 18:19 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jun 28, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
98¢
NO
3¢
YES
98¢
YesY-NNo
Position$23K+$22K$202
Holders36+531
Trades191−87278
NO
3¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate64.6%
+21.6 pp
43.1%
Avg ROI1.1%
−10.3 pp
11.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.98
−0.48×
×1.46
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.98
−0.38×
×1.36
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.1K
+$6.1K
$24
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.01
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL1.8%
+31.5 pp
-29.6%
Underwater %34.8%
−37.1 pp
72.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %12.3%
+5.3 pp
7.0%
Bot %12.3%
+5.3 pp
7.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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