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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

data as of 2026-03-04 10:40 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$28K−$12K$40K
Holders423+106317
Trades6.3K+4295.8K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.3%
−5.5 pp
48.7%
Avg ROI21.7%
+23.7 pp
-1.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×45.71
+45.19×
×0.52
Top-20 avg cost vs price×46.14
+45.59×
×0.55
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$26.4K
−$3.7K
$30.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.01
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.6%
−185.2 pp
87.6%
Underwater %98.0%
+98.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %84.3%
−4.7 pp
88.9%
Bot %83.9%
−3.8 pp
87.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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